Un update sur les telecoms et autres high yield, date du 23 avril 2012, du Credit Suisse, avec recommendations… trouve en googlant CS European High Yield Relative value update - switzerland
Voici le tableau des recommendations (mais ce sera beaucoup plus plaisant a lire si vous trouvez le pdf sur google - et vous y aurez aussi les explications du pourquoi…)
On peut ainsi VERIFIER ce que les predictions/recommendations ont donne ex OUI pour COM HEM, KERLING…(qui sont toujours des "buy")
RESUME
Relative value trades and recommendations
We have made new recommendations or updated our views on the following
names: Ardagh, Boparan, CIR (initiate with Outperform on 5yr CDS), Com
Hem, Dixons, Gala, HeidelbergCement, Ineos, IPF (initiate with Outperform on
11.5% 2015 Notes), ISS, KDG, Kerling, Ladbrokes, Matalan, M-real, Ontex,
Oxea, Priory, Reynolds, Sol Melia (initiate with Market Perform on 5yr CDS),
Suncom, Sunrise, TUI, UPC and Virgin Media.
Exhibit 7: Summary of covered companies mentioned in the text
Issuer Description Coupon Maturity OLD Recommendation NEW Recommendation Risk category Price YTW (%) Z-spread
(if applicable) 20/04/12
Packaging
Reynolds Grp Iss/Reynold Senior Secured Notes Euro 7.750% 15-Oct-16 Market Perform Market 104.88 6.5 511
Beverage Packaging Holding Senior Notes Euro 8.000% 15-Dec-16 Buy Market 92.69 10.3 857
Beverage Packaging Holding Senior Sub Notes Euro 9.500% 15-Jun-17 Outperform Market 88.60 13.0 1,107
Smurfit Junior 5-year CDS - 20-Jun-15 Market Perform Outperform Speculative - - 92
Gaming
Gala Group Finance Plc Secured Notes GBP 8.875% 01-Sep-18 Outperform Buy Market 84.28 12.5 1,065
Ladbrokes 5 Year CDS - 20-Jun-17 Underperform Market - - 313
Transport / Services
Compagnie Industriali Riunite 5-Year CDS - 20-Jun-17 Not covered Outperform Market - - 547
ISS Global A/S 5-Year CDS - 20-Mar-17 Underperform Market - - 214
FS Funding 5-Year CDS - 20-Mar-17 Outperform Market - - 568
Melia Hotals International 5-year CDS - 20-Jun-17 Not covered Market Perform Market - - 961
Tui Ag 5-Year CDS - 20-Mar-17 Outperform Market - - 756
Cable
Norcell Sweden Holding 3 Senior Secured Notes SEK 9.250% 29-Sep-18 Market Perform Market 103.52 8.62 622
Norcell Sweden Holding 2 Senior Notes Euro 10.750% 29-Sep-19 Outperform Market 102.49 10.41 859
Musketeer Gmbh Senior Notes Euro 9.500% 15-Mar-21 Market Perform Market 106.65 8.38 645
Musketeer Gmbh 5-year CDS NA 20-Mar-17 Market Perform Speculative - - 0
Kabel Deutschland Gmbh Senior Secured Notes Euro 6.500% 29-Jun-18 Underperform Market 105.01 5.22 379
Kabel Deutschland Gmbh 5-year CDS NA 20-Mar-17 Underperform Market - - 0
Telenet Finance Luxembou Senior Secured Notes Euro 5.300% 15-Nov-16 Market Perform Market 99.50 5.49 393
Telenet Finance Lux Senior Secured Notes Euro 6.375% 15-Nov-20 Market Perform Market 99.70 6.52 442
Telenet Finance III Lux Senior Secured Notes Euro 6.625% 15-Feb-21 Market Perform Market 100.07 6.72 482
Telenet Finance IV Luxem FRN Euro snr sec. nts E+3.875% 15-Jun-21 Market Perform Market 99.27 4.71 NA
UPCB Finance II Ltd Senior Secured Notes Euro 7.625% 15-Jan-20 Outperform Market 104.36 6.80 508
UPCB Finance II Ltd Senior Secured Notes Euro 6.375% 01-Jul-20 Outperform Market 97.45 6.90 483
UPC Holding Bv Senior Notes Euro 8.000% 01-Nov-16 Outperform Market 103.91 5.44 431
UPC Holding Bv Senior Notes Euro 9.750% 15-Apr-18 Outperform Market 104.91 8.02 670
UPC Holding Bv Senior Notes Euro 8.375% 15-Aug-20 Outperform Market 101.39 8.25 639
UPC Holding Bv 5-year CDS NA 20-Mar-17 Outperform Market - - 0
Virgin Media Secured Fin Senior Secured Notes Euro 7.000% 15-Jan-18 Underperform Market 106.72 4.86 349
Virgin Media Secured Fin Senior Secured Notes Euro 5.500% 15-Jan-21 Underperform Market 103.95 4.94 268
Virgin Media Finance Plc Senior Notes Euro 9.500% 15-Aug-16 Underperform Market 111.71 3.84 277
Virgin Media Finance Plc Senior Notes GBP 8.875% 15-Oct-19 Underperform Market 112.00 5.33 391
Virgin Media Finance Plc 5-year CDS NA 20-Mar-17 Outperform Speculative - - 0
Ziggo Finance BV Senior Secured Notes Euro 6.125% 15-Nov-17 Market Perform Market 105.21 4.56 339
Ziggo Bond Co Senior Notes Euro 8.000% 15-May-18 Outperform Market 107.21 6.06 464
Telecom
Sunrise Communications Int Senior Secured Notes Euro 7.000% 31-Dec-17 Underperform Market 105.64 5.69 417
Sunrise Communications Hldg 8.5% € Snr nts 8.500% 31-Dec-18 Market Perform Market 104.85 7.39 582
Sunrise Communications Hldg 5-year CDS NA 20-Mar-17 Market Perform Market - - 0
Healthcare
Crown Newco 3 Ltd Senior secured £ notes 7% 15-Feb-18 Outperform Market 94.03 8.3 648
Crown Newco 3 Ltd Senior £ notes 8.875% 15-Feb-19 Outperform Market 87.22 11.6 970
Consumer
Boparan Finance plc (UK) Senior £ notes 9.875% 30-Apr-18 Buy 101.67 9.4 774
Boparan Finance plc (UK) Senior € notes 9.750% 30-Apr-18 Buy 103.64 9.0 735
Retail
Dixons Retail plc Senior £ notes 6.125% 15-Nov-12 Buy Market 100.48 5.2 381
Dixons Retail plc Senior £ notes 8.75% 03-Aug-15 Outperform Speculative 97.83 9.5 804
Dixons Retail plc 5-year CDS n.a. 21-Mar-16 Market Perform Market - - 817
Matalan Finance plc Senior secured £ notes 8.875% 29-Apr-16 Outperform Speculative 84.80 14.0 1,237
Matalan Finance plc Senior £ notes 9.625% 31-Mar-17 Outperform Speculative 69.51 19.5 1,783
Industrials
HeidelbergCement Finance BV Senior Notes 7.500% 31-Oct-14 Underperform Market 109.53 3.5 239
HeidelbergCement Finance BV Senior Notes 6.500% 03-Aug-15 Underperform Market 106.84 4.3 302
HeidelbergCement Finance BV Senior Notes 6.750% 15-Dec-15 Underperform Market 108.17 4.3 303
HeidelbergCement Finance BV Senior Notes 8.000% 31-Jan-17 Market Perform Market 109.97 5.7 413
HeidelbergCement Finance BV Senior Notes 5.625% 04-Jan-18 Underperform Market 103.62 4.9 324
HeidelbergCement Finance BV Senior Notes 9.500% 15-Dec-18 Market Perform Market 115.36 6.7 487
HeidelbergCement Finance BV Senior Notes 8.500% 31-Oct-19 Market Perform Market 111.49 6.6 468
HeidelbergCement Finance BV Senior Notes 7.500% 03-Apr-20 Market Perform Market 105.16 6.8 473
Ineos Group Holdings plc 5-year CDS - - Underperform Market - - 756
Ineos Finance plc Senior secured notes 9.250% 15-May-15 Underperform Market 106.06 6.2 500
Ineos Finance plc Senior seccured FRNs E+600 bps 15-Feb-19 Market Perform Market 100.43 7.2 603
Ineos Group Holdings plc Senior notes 7.875% 15-Feb-16 Underperform Market 89.39 11.7 1,009
M-Real Oyj 1-year CDS - 20-Mar-12 Outperform Market - - 340
M-Real Oyj 2-year CDS - - Outperform Market - - 465
M-Real Oyj 5-year CDS - - Outperform Market - - 694
Kinove German Bondco GmbH € Senior Secured notes 10.000% 15-Jun-18 Outperform Market 102.52 9.6 787
OXEA Finance & Cy SCA € Senior secured notes 9.625% 15-Jul-17 Outperform Market 106.42 8.0 645
Dernière modification par sissi (03/06/2013 21h09)